Critical Reasoning Framework — Cheat Sheet

Master Execution Order

  1. Conclusion (5-step Derivation Process)
  2. Premises (Empirical, Logical, Normative, Concession, Prescriptive)
  3. Assumptions — Good / True / Happen
  4. Gap Test — applied to ALL assumptions
  5. Weakening — assumption-based + paragraph-by-paragraph
  6. Vulnerability Ranking — ALL assumptions, most → least
  7. Failure Modes — 6 common patterns
  8. Exam-Ready Answer

Step 1 — Conclusion (5-Step Derivation)

Step Action
1 List ALL candidate statements
2 Scan for linguistic cues: therefore, the solution is, should, must
3 Apply “Remove and Collapse” test — if removing a statement collapses the argument, it’s the conclusion
4 Distinguish diagnostic (“what’s the problem?”) from prescriptive (“what should be done?”)
5 Eliminate false candidates: premises, sub-conclusions, concessions, background context

Pitfalls: confusing premises with conclusions, mistaking evidence for thesis, selecting emotionally strong statements, choosing background information.


Step 2 — Premises

Premises support the conclusion. Types:

Type Description Example Signal
Empirical Observable fact or data “is,” “has been,” “shows”
Causal Claim about cause-effect “causes,” “leads to,” “creates”
Normative Value-based claim “should,” “ought”
Concession Admitted counterpoint “This does not mean,” “Of course”
Prescriptive Recommendation “must,” “have a responsibility”

Key distinction: Premises are what the author presents as fact. Assumptions are what the author leaves unstated.


Step 3 — Assumptions: Good / True / Happen

🔵 GOOD (Value Assumptions)

What is assumed to be desirable or worth pursuing?

🟢 TRUE (Definitional / Factual Assumptions)

What is assumed to be factually correct?

🔴 HAPPEN (Causal Assumptions)

What chain of events is assumed?


Step 4 — Gap Test (Applied to ALL Assumptions)

The 4-Step Process

Step Action
1 Identify connection — Which premise does this assumption connect to which part of the conclusion?
2 State the bridge“For [premise] to support [conclusion], it must be true that [assumption].”
3 Deny the assumption — If the assumption were FALSE, would the premise still support the conclusion?
4 Rate the gap — Critical (argument collapses), Significant (weakens substantially), Minor (survives)

Step 5 — Weakening

Goal: Reduce confidence in the conclusion (NOT prove it false).

Assumption-Based Methods

Method Core Idea
Alternative Explanation The observed effect may have another cause
Cause Is Not Necessary The effect can happen without the proposed cause
Implementation Failure The solution may fail operationally
Scaling Failure Success at small scale may not generalize
Unintended Consequences The intervention may cause new harms
Countervailing Forces Other factors may offset the expected benefit

Paragraph-by-Paragraph Method

  1. Extract the implicit claim from each paragraph
  2. Challenge that specific claim using the toolkit above
  3. Cumulative effect: reduced confidence in the overall conclusion

Step 6 — Vulnerability Ranking

Rank ALL assumptions using three criteria:

Criterion Question Weight
Contestability How easy to challenge with plausible alternatives? High
Counterexamples How readily available are real-world contradictions? High
Centrality If this fails, how much of the argument collapses? Highest

Pattern: Causal (HAPPEN) assumptions are typically most vulnerable → Definitional (TRUE) in the middle → Value (GOOD) most resilient.


Step 7 — Failure Modes

Failure Mode Signal Diagnostic Question
Correlation ≠ Causation “Because A happens with B, A causes B” Could the direction reverse? Is there a third factor?
Hidden Definition Shift Loaded terms like “misuse,” “healthy,” “efficiency” How is the author defining this term?
Overgeneralization “Many” → “all”; one pilot → nationwide Is the sample representative?
False Dichotomy “Either X or Y” Are there other options?
Normative Leap Facts → “should” without moral bridge What value assumption bridges the gap?
Inevitability Claims “Will inevitably,” “guarantees,” “eliminates” What could prevent the predicted outcome?

Final Memory Formula

Derive the conclusion (5-step), identify premises, uncover ALL assumptions (Good/True/Happen), apply the Gap Test to every assumption, weaken using both assumption-targeting and paragraph-by-paragraph methods, rank all assumptions by vulnerability (contestability × counterexamples × centrality), and scan for reasoning failures.